A e dinit se ekziston nj\u00eb probabilitet q\u00eb Dwayne<\/a> \u201cThe Rock\u201d Johnson t\u00eb fitoj\u00eb n\u00eb zgjedhjet e ardhshme Presidenciale n\u00eb USA sipas nj\u00eb prej websiteve m\u00eb t\u00eb mir\u00ebnjohur t\u00eb basteve? <\/p>\n\n\n\n Keoficienti q\u00eb \u201cThe Rock\u201d t\u00eb fitoj\u00eb zgjedhjet \u00ebsht\u00eb 50\/1, q\u00eb do t\u00eb thot\u00eb \u201c50 mund\u00ebsi q\u00eb t\u00eb humbas\u00eb dhe 1 mund\u00ebsia p\u00ebr t\u00eb fituar\u201d, ose ndryshe probabiliteti i fitores s\u00eb tij \u00ebsht\u00eb 1\/51=0.0196.<\/p>\n\n\n\n N\u00ebse keni n\u00eb plan t\u00eb nisni t\u00eb vendosni baste duke luajtur n\u00eb kazino, baste sportive<\/a> apo cfar\u00ebdo lloj arg\u00ebtimi tjet\u00ebr online, \u00ebsht\u00eb e r\u00ebnd\u00ebsishme t\u00eb kuptoni si funksionojn\u00eb koeficient\u00ebt. <\/p>\n\n\n\n Do t\u00eb ishte absurde t\u00eb mendonit p\u00ebr t\u00eb vendosur baste pa pasur fillimisht nje njohje t\u00eb mir\u00eb t\u00eb llojeve t\u00eb ndryshme t\u00eb koeficient\u00ebve t\u00eb basteve dhe aft\u00ebsin\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u00eb kuptuar dhe interpretuar formatet e ndryshme t\u00eb tyre.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Tre llojet kryesore t\u00eb koeficient\u00ebve t\u00eb basteve jan\u00eb “koeficient\u00ebt fraksional\u00eb<\/strong>” (Britanik\u00eb), “koeficient\u00ebt dhjetor\u00eb<\/strong>” (Europian\u00eb) dhe “koeficient\u00ebt amerikan\u00eb<\/strong>“. <\/p>\n\n\n\n Keto metoda jan\u00eb thjesht m\u00ebnyra t\u00eb ndryshme p\u00ebr t\u00eb prezantuar t\u00eb nj\u00ebjt\u00ebn gj\u00eb dhe nuk kan\u00eb asnj\u00eb diferenc\u00eb p\u00ebr sa i p\u00ebrket fitimit tuaj. Kjo do t\u00eb thot\u00eb q\u00eb mund\u00ebsia (ose p\u00ebrqindja e probabilitetit) e ndodhjes s\u00eb nj\u00eb ngjarjeje mund t\u00eb konvertohet dhe t\u00eb prezantohet n\u00eb secilin prej m\u00ebnyrave t\u00eb sip\u00ebrp\u00ebrmenduara.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Koeficient\u00ebt fraksional\u00eb (t\u00eb njohur edhe si koeficient\u00ebt Britanik\u00eb apo koeficient\u00ebt tradicional\u00eb) jan\u00eb shum\u00eb t\u00eb p\u00ebrdorur n\u00eb Britani dhe Irland\u00eb. Zakonisht shkruhen me \u201c\/\u201d ose \u201c-\u201c , p\u00ebrshembull 6\/1 ose 6-1 dhe lexohen \u201cgjasht\u00eb-p\u00ebr-nj\u00eb\u201d. Koeficientet fraksional\u00eb p\u00ebrdoren nga disa prej kompanive m\u00eb t\u00eb m\u00ebdha t\u00eb basteve n\u00eb bot\u00eb, duke u ber\u00eb k\u00ebshtu m\u00ebnyra m\u00eb e preferuar e paraqitjes s\u00eb koeficient\u00ebve n\u00ebp\u00ebr bot\u00eb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Nj\u00eb listim fraksional i koeficent\u00ebve 6\/1 do t\u00eb tregonte se ju fitoni 6$ p\u00ebr cdo 1$ q\u00eb vendosni n\u00eb bast (duke marr\u00eb gjithashtu mbrapsht edhe 1$ dollar q\u00eb investuat). N\u00eb fjal\u00eb t\u00eb tjera shuma q\u00eb ju do t\u00eb merrni do t\u00eb jet\u00eb fitimi prej 6$ dhe 1$ q\u00eb vendos\u00ebt n\u00eb bast, duke rezultuar n\u00eb nj\u00eb shum\u00eb totale prej 7$. Si rrjedhim, n\u00ebse vendosni nj\u00eb bast prej 10$ me koeficientin 6\/1, n\u00eb rast fitoreje ju do t\u00eb t\u00ebrhiqni shum\u00ebn prej 70$ (60$ fitimi dhe 10$ shuma e vendosur n\u00eb bast).<\/p>\n\n\n\n Dometh\u00ebn\u00eb, shuma totale q\u00eb do t\u00eb p\u00ebrfitonit nga nj\u00eb bast mund t\u00eb shprehet si:<\/p>\n\n\n\n Shuma totale e fituar= [basti i vendosur \u00d7 (num\u00ebrues\/em\u00ebrues)]+basti i vendosur<\/p>\n\n\n\n P\u00ebrshembull, nj\u00eb prej websiteve m\u00eb t\u00eb m\u00ebdhenj t\u00eb basteve listoi koeficient\u00ebt e m\u00ebposht\u00ebm n\u00eb lidhje me fituesin e mundsh\u00ebm t\u00eb sezonit 2017-18 t\u00eb NBA. M\u00eb posht\u00eb paraqiten tre skuadrat q\u00eb kishin koeficient\u00ebt m\u00eb t\u00eb ul\u00ebt t\u00eb fitimit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \u00cbsht\u00eb shum\u00eb e thjesht\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u00eb dal\u00ebn n\u00eb p\u00ebrfundimin se Golden State Warriors jan\u00eb favorit\u00ebt p\u00ebr t\u00eb fituar nd\u00ebrsa koeficient\u00ebt e Houston dhe Cleveland jan\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb lart\u00eb. M\u00eb sakt\u00eb nj\u00eb bast\u00ebv\u00ebn\u00ebs ka nj\u00eb fitim prej 10$ p\u00ebr cdo 11$ t\u00eb luajtura n\u00eb favor t\u00eb Golden State Warriors. Nd\u00ebrkohe ai mund t\u00eb fitoj\u00eb 9$ p\u00ebr cdo 4$ t\u00eb luajtura n\u00eb favor t\u00eb fitores s\u00eb Houston q\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb m\u00eb pak e mundshme p\u00ebr t\u00eb ndodhur. Nd\u00ebrsa p\u00ebr Cleveland merret nj\u00eb fitim prej 7$ p\u00ebr cdo 1$ q\u00eb vendoset n\u00eb bast.<\/p>\n\n\n\n N\u00eb shembullin e m\u00ebsip\u00ebrm, n\u00ebse vendosni 100$ n\u00eb favor t\u00eb Golden State, do t\u00eb merrnit nj\u00eb fitim prej 90.91$ [100$\u00d7(10\/11)], dhe do t\u00eb merrnit mbrapsht edhe bastin fillestar prej 100$, duke rezultuar n\u00eb nj\u00eb shum\u00eb totale prej 190.91$. Sidoqoft\u00eb n\u00ebse vendosni 100$ bast n\u00eb favor t\u00eb Houston do t\u00eb kishit nj\u00eb fitim prej 225$ [100$\u00d7(9\/4)] dhe duke i shtuar edhe 100$ e bastit fillestar do t\u00eb t\u00ebrhiqnit nj\u00eb shum\u00eb totale prej 325$. Me t\u00eb njejt\u00ebn m\u00ebnyr\u00eb llogaritje fitimi nga vendosja e nj\u00eb basti 100$ n\u00eb favor t\u00eb Cleveland do t\u00eb ishte edbe m\u00eb i lart\u00eb, specifikisht 700$ dhe shuma totale e p\u00ebrfituar do t\u00eb ishte 800$.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Koeficient\u00ebt dhjetor\u00eb ( q\u00eb njihen edhe si koeficient\u00ebt Europian\u00eb, koeficient\u00eb dixhital\u00eb apo koeficient\u00eb kontinental\u00eb) jan\u00eb shume t\u00eb p\u00ebrdorur n\u00eb Europ\u00ebn kontinentale, Austali, Zeland\u00eb t\u00eb Re dhe Canada. Jan\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb leht\u00eb p\u00ebr tu kuptuar dhe p\u00ebr t\u00eb vepruar. Favorit\u00ebt dallohen menj\u00ebher\u00eb sapo i shikon numrat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Koeficient\u00ebt dhjetor\u00eb p\u00ebrfaq\u00ebsojn\u00eb shum\u00ebn totale q\u00eb p\u00ebrfituar p\u00ebr cdo 1$ t\u00eb luajtur. P\u00ebr koeficient\u00ebt dhjetor\u00eb kjo shum\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb totale, pra p\u00ebrfshin edhe shum\u00eb e luajtur, edhe fitimin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n P\u00ebrfitimi total nga nj\u00eb bast i vendosur do t\u00eb llogaritej si:<\/p>\n\n\n\n P\u00ebrfitimi total= basti i vendosur \u00d7 koeficienti dhjetor<\/p>\n\n\n\n P\u00ebrshembull, nj\u00eb nga websitet m\u00eb t\u00eb mir\u00ebnjohura ka listuar shanset e disa kandidat\u00ebve per t\u00eb fituar Zgjedhjet Presidenciale t\u00eb USA t\u00eb vitit 2020. M\u00eb posht\u00eb do t\u00eb listohen koeficient\u00ebt e tre kandidateve kryesor\u00eb si dhe kandidati me m\u00eb pak shanse, t\u00eb shpallura nga kompania e basteve n\u00eb 21 Mars 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Dhe nj\u00eb personalitet i medias, biznesmeni sportiv LaVar Ball: 251.00<\/p>\n\n\n\n K\u00ebto shifra tregojn\u00eb shum\u00ebn q\u00eb ju do t\u00eb p\u00ebrfitonit p\u00ebr cdo 1$ q\u00eb vendosni bast. Si rrjedhim n\u00ebse nj\u00eb bastv\u00ebn\u00ebs vendos 100$ n\u00eb favor t\u00eb Donald Trump ai do t\u00eb fitonte 300$. Kjo shum\u00eb p\u00ebrfshin bastin fillestar prej 100$ dhe fitimin prej 200$.<\/p>\n\n\n\n N\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb t\u00eb ngjashm\u00eb nj\u00eb bastv\u00ebnes do t\u00eb p\u00ebrfitonte 1100$ n\u00ebse do t\u00eb vendosnin 100$ n\u00eb favor t\u00eb Bernie Sanders dhe 1300$ n\u00ebse do t\u00eb luanin po 100$ n\u00eb favor t\u00eb Elizabeth Warren. Duke zbritur 100$ fillestar nga k\u00ebto dy shuma del edhe fitimi i marre nga secili bast <\/p>\n\n\n\n Duke par\u00eb k\u00ebto koeficient\u00eb t\u00eb vendosur nga kompania e basteve dilet n\u00eb p\u00ebrfundimin se sipas saj, probabiliteti q\u00eb Donald Trump (favoriti) t\u00eb fitoj\u00eb zgjedhjet \u00ebsht\u00eb shum\u00eb m\u00eb i lart\u00eb se probabiliteti i kandidat\u00ebve t\u00eb tjer\u00eb. Sa m\u00eb i lart\u00eb p\u00ebrfitmi total ( pra sa m\u00eb i lart\u00eb t\u00eb jet\u00eb koeficienti dhjetor) aq m\u00eb pak e mundshme \u00ebsht\u00eb p\u00ebr kandidatin e listuar t\u00eb fitoj\u00eb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Koeficient\u00ebt Amerikan\u00eb jan\u00eb t\u00eb p\u00ebrdorur n\u00eb Shtetet e Bashkuara. Koeficient\u00ebt p\u00ebr favorit\u00ebt shoq\u00ebrohen me nj\u00eb shenj\u00eb \u201c-\u201c dhe tregojn\u00eb shum\u00ebn q\u00eb duhet t\u00eb luani p\u00ebr t\u00eb fituar 100$. Nd\u00ebrsa koeficient\u00ebt p\u00ebr jofavorit\u00ebt shoq\u00ebrohen me nj\u00eb \u201c+\u201d dhe tregojn\u00eb shum\u00ebn q\u00eb do t\u00eb fitonit p\u00ebr cdo 100$ t\u00eb luajtura. N\u00eb t\u00eb dyja rastet merret mbrapsht edhe shuma e luajtur. Diferenca midis koeficient\u00ebve t\u00eb favoritit dhe jofavoritit rritet sa m\u00eb shum\u00eb rritet probabiliteti i fitores s\u00eb favoritit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Le ta kuptojm\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb me ndihm\u00ebn e nj\u00eb shembulli:<\/p>\n\n\n\n Nj\u00eb nga websitet e mir\u00ebnjohura t\u00eb basteve listoi koeficient\u00ebt e m\u00ebposht\u00ebm p\u00ebr ndeshjen e basketbollit t\u00eb meshkujve mes Duke dhe Syracuse n\u00eb 23 Mars 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Kompania e basteve ka ofruar koeficientin +585 p\u00ebr Syracuae q\u00eb tregon se i ka dh\u00ebn\u00eb j\u00eb probabilitet shum\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb ul\u00ebt fitores s\u00eb tyre. Nj\u00eb bastv\u00ebn\u00ebs duhet t\u00eb luaj\u00eb 100$ p\u00ebr t\u00eb fituar 585$ dhe duke i shtuar k\u00ebsaj shum\u00eb edhe bastin fillestar q\u00eb merret mbrapsht, shuma totale e p\u00ebrfituar do t\u00eb iisht\u00eb 685$.<\/p>\n\n\n\n N\u00ebse do t\u00eb vendosnit t\u00eb vendosnit nj\u00eb bast n\u00eb favor t\u00eb Duke q\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb listuar si favorit, do t\u00eb duhet t\u00eb luanit 760$ p\u00ebr t\u00eb fituar 100$. N\u00ebse Duke fiton, ju do t\u00eb p\u00ebrfitonit gjithsej 860$ (basti fillestar prej 760$ dhe fitimi 100$).<\/p>\n\n\n\n N\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb ndeshje ka nj\u00eb diferenc\u00eb t\u00eb madhe mes dy koeficient\u00ebve, q\u00eb tregon se probabiliteti q\u00eb ndeshja t\u00eb fitohet nga Duke \u00ebsht\u00eb shum\u00eb m\u00eb i lart\u00eb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n N\u00ebse po planifikoni t\u00eb hyni n\u00eb bot\u00ebn e basteve \u00ebsht\u00eb e r\u00ebnd\u00ebsishme t\u00eb arrini t\u00eb kuptoni dhe interpretoni mir\u00eb t\u00eb gjitha llojet e koeficient\u00ebve.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Zgjidh kompanin\u00eb t\u00ebnde dhe provo bastin e par\u00eb FALAS!<\/strong><\/span><\/em><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false,"gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"rendered","format":"html"}]},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Nje analiz\u00eb e holl\u00ebsishme p\u00ebr koeficient\u00ebt e basteve. A e dinit se ekziston nj\u00eb probabilitet q\u00eb Dwayne \u201cThe Rock\u201d Johnson t\u00eb fitoj\u00eb n\u00eb zgjedhjet e ardhshme Presidenciale n\u00eb USA sipas nj\u00eb prej websiteve m\u00eb t\u00eb mir\u00ebnjohur t\u00eb basteve? Keoficienti q\u00eb \u201cThe Rock\u201d t\u00eb fitoj\u00eb zgjedhjet \u00ebsht\u00eb 50\/1, q\u00eb do t\u00eb thot\u00eb \u201c50 mund\u00ebsi q\u00eb t\u00eb … Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false,"gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"rendered","format":"html"}]},"author":18,"featured_media":3596,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[136],"tags":[486,487,489,414],"acf":[],"gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"link","format":"url"}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.baste-sportive.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3588"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.baste-sportive.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.baste-sportive.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.baste-sportive.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/18"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.baste-sportive.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3588"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.baste-sportive.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3588\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":30689,"href":"https:\/\/www.baste-sportive.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3588\/revisions\/30689"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.baste-sportive.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/3596"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.baste-sportive.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3588"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.baste-sportive.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3588"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.baste-sportive.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3588"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}Si funksionojn\u00eb koeficient\u00ebt fraksional\u00eb?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Si funksionojn\u00eb koeficient\u00ebt dhjetor\u00eb?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Si funksionojn\u00eb koeficient\u00ebt Amerikan\u00eb?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
P\u00ebrfundime t\u00eb r\u00ebnd\u00ebsishme<\/h4>\n\n\n\n